posted on 2021-07-18

AI alignment timeline codes

this is a small post proposing simple one-letter codes for identifying timelines depending on their status relative to AI alignment and the appearance of superintelligence:

U-line, X-line, and S-line all have deployed superintelligences and are therefore terminal outcomes; they are unescapable. P-line and A-line are transitionary; they likely lead to one of the three terminal outcomes mentioned here.

other terminal might exist, but they seem unlikely enough to not warrant listing here; for example, even if everyone dies from, say, a meteor impact, life on earth or nearby will probably evolve another civilization eventually, which will also probably face the AI alignment challenge and end up in one of the terminal timelines.

posted on 2021-07-18

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